New forecast: up to 21 named storms and 11 hurricanes

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The United States Oceanic and Atmospheric Observation Agency (NOAA) is raising the Atlantic hurricane forecast above normal due to record warming in sea surface temperatures.

Indeed, the water temperature in the tropical and subtropical Atlantic continues to reach record levels. In some places it is more than 5 degrees above normal. Warmer water provides energy for hurricanes. High water temperatures in the North Atlantic are the primary reason for this more active than normal hurricane season forecast. NOAA now predicts 14 to 21 named storms, of which six to 11 could become hurricanes, and of those, two to five could become major hurricanes with winds of 179 mph or more. This update includes the four storms (Arlene, Bret, Cindy and Don) that have already formed this season (June 1 to November 30, 2023) and one unnamed storm that formed earlier this year. Local authorities invite the population, residents and businesses, to prepare as the territory enters the peak period of the hurricane season, namely from August 15 to October 15, the month of September being the peak of the season. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has reported that El Nino conditions are currently being observed and there is a greater than 95% chance that El Nino will continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter generally resulting in atmospheric conditions that help reduce tropical activity during the Atlantic hurricane season. However, these limiting conditions have been slow to develop, and climatologists predict that the associated impacts that tend to limit tropical cyclone activity may not be in place for much of the remaining hurricane season. It is therefore essential to prepare in advance, to put together the emergency kit, to secure homes and to find out about the other measures to be taken. The Collectivity calls on vulnerable, elderly, isolated, disabled or disabled people to register with the Solidarity and Family Delegation located at 5 rue Léopold Mingau in Concordia – 06 90 66 88 88 or autonomie@com- saint-martin.fr – to facilitate interventions in the event of a cyclone. _VX

Info: http://www.com-saint-martin.fr/Risques-majeurs_Collectivite-Saint-Martin-Antilles_115_fwi.html

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